for Monday, 11 June 2012 [6:04 PM PhT]
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Monday June 11 2012):
Now issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on 05W (UNNAMED).
05W MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): --- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): --- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): --- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): --- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): --- km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Mon 11 June 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #002/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2012)
Tropical Depression 05W (UNNAMED) rapidly accelerating WNW as it maintained its strength while over the Caroline Islands.
Residents and visitors along Yap, Ulithi, Palau and the rest of Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 05W (UNNAMED).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon June 11 2012
Location of Center: 9.4º N Lat 144.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 445 km South of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 724 km East of Yap, FSM
Distance 3: 1,064 km East of P.A.R.
Distance 4: 1,146 km ENE of Koror, Palau
Distance 5: 2,029 km East of Northern Mindanao
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: WNW @ 30 kph (16 kts)
Towards: Yap-Ulithi Area
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) [N/A]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PhT Mon June 11
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
05W is expected to move generally WNW-ward for the next 48 hours, before turning NW-ward by 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of 05W will pass close to the north of Yap and Ulithi Islands on Wednesday afternoon.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 05W will become a Tropical Storm (TS) on Tuesday, and eventually into a Typhoon (TY) on Thursday.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Upgraded to TS classification while passing in between Guam and Yap Islands [2PM JUN 12: 9.7N 142.2E @ 65kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Bears down on Yap and Ulithi Islands...maintains its WNW track towards the Philippine Sea [2PM JUN 13: 10.4N 138.6E @ 95kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...strengthens into a Category 1 Typhoon...about 1,033 km East of Samar, Philippines [2PM JUN 14: 11.9N 135.0E @ 120kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
DEVELOPING RAINBANDS - over water (Western Pacific Ocean)...not affecting any land areas. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TD 05W (UNNAMED)
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0512.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5 Days Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: 05W's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
_____________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 05W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
Copyright © 2012 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
No comments:
Post a Comment