Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Tropical Storm DOKSURI (MARING) Final Update

 

Tropical Storm DOKSURI (MARING) Final Update


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TROPICAL STORM DOKSURI (MARING) UPDATE NO. 006 [FINAL]

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday 13 September 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm DOKSURI (MARING) has just moved out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), on its way to Hainan-Northern Vietnam Area. 

This storm is expected to slow down for the next 24 hours and could become a Typhoon by tomorrow afternoon (Sept 14).

*This is the Final Update on this Tropical Cyclone. 

Where is DOKSURI (MARING)?As of 5:00 PM PhT, September 13…0900 GMT.  The center was located over the South China Sea (near 15.5N 115.3E), about 506 km west of Alaminos City, Pangasinan or 540 km west of Olongapo City, Zambales.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving West-Northwest @ 24 kph, across the South China Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a Typhoon as it moves West-Northwest across the South China Sea…about 706 km south-southwest of Hong Kong, China [2PM Sept 14: 16.4N 111.9E @ 130kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifying slowly while bearing down the coast of North-Central Vietnam…about 869 km southwest of Hong Kong, China [2PM Sept 15: 17.9N 107.3E @ 140kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 520 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 825 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed September 13, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 15.5º N Lat 115.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 555 km WSW of San Fernando City, La Union
Distance 2: 567 km W of Urdaneta City, Pangasinan
Distance 3: 568 km W of Tarlac City, Tarlac
Distance 4: 575 km W of Baguio City, Benguet
Distance 5: 627 km W of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Posted by MJ Klein at 21:33 0 comments

Tropical Storm DOKSURI (MARING) Update Number 005

 

Tropical Storm DOKSURI (MARING) Update Number 005

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TROPICAL STORM DOKSURI (MARING) UPDATE NO. 005

Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 13 September 2017
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 13 September 2017
Current Status and Outlook

DOKSURI (MARING) has strengthened into a Tropical Storm (TS) while moving westward across the warm waters of the West Philippine Sea, away from Luzon. Its growing rainbands is affecting the coastal areas of Northern Palawan, Calamian Group of Islands and Western Zambales. 

This storm is expected to accelerate, west-northwest across the West Philippine Sea for the next 24 hours and will exit the western border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) later today.  DOKSURI (MARING) is likely to become a Severe Tropical Storm (TS) by early Thursday morning (Sept 14).

*TS DOKSURI (MARING) and the enhanced Southwesterly Windflow will bring on-and-off light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms across the western sections of Central and Southern Luzon, MiMaRoPa, and Western Visayas. 

Where is DOKSURI (MARING)?As of 5:00 AM PhT, September 13…2100 GMT.  The center was located over the West Philippine Sea (near 14.7N 117.9E), about 257 km west of Olongapo City, Zambales or 188 km west-southwest of Balanga City, Bataan.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Westward @ 18 kph, across the West Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes a Severe Tropical Storm (TS) as it accelerates West-Northwest across the South China Sea, outside of PAR…about 629 km west of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [2AM Sept 14: 16.0N 114.1E @ 95kph].  Confidence Level:  MEDIUM.

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Strengthens into a Category 1 Typhoon as it approaches the southern coast of Hainan Island…about 742 km southwest of Hong Kong, China [2AM Sept 15: 17.1N 109.8E @ 120kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 800 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 755 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed September 13, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 14.7º N Lat 117.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 293 km W of Angeles City, Pampanga
Distance 2: 299 km W of San Fernando City, Pampanga
Distance 3: 302 km WSW of Tarlac City, Tarlac
Distance 4: 320 km WSW of Urdaneta City, Pamgasinan
Distance 5: 340 km W of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Posted by MJ Klein at 07:28 0 comments

Tropical Depression DOKSURI (MARING) Update Number 004

 

Tropical Depression DOKSURI (MARING) Update Number 004


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOKSURI (MARING) UPDATE NUMBER 004

Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Wednesday 13 September 2017
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday, 13 September 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Depression 21W (MARING) has strengthened slightly upon emerging swiftly over the West Philippine Sea…now with a global name: DOKSURI ~ a Korean word for Eagle. Its rainbands has started to move away from Luzon.

This depression is expected to move slowly, westward across the West Philippine Sea for the next 24 hours.  DOKSURI (MARING) is likely to become a Tropical Storm (TS) later today.

*TD DOKSURI (MARING) and the enhanced Southwesterly Windflow will bring on-and-off light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms across the western sections of Central and Southern Luzon, MiMaRoPa, and Western Visayas. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures and be on full alert against flash floods, landslides and swollen river banks.

Where is DOKSURI (MARING)?As of 11:00 PM PhT, September 12…1500 GMT.  The center was located over the West Philippine Sea (near 14.7N 118.9E), about 150 km west of Olongapo City, Zambales or 188 km west-southwest of Angeles City, Pampanga.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.

*At 5:00pm Sept 12, wind gusts of 67 km/hr blowing from the Southeast was reported at the WPF Automated Weather Station (AWS) in  San Fernando City, Pampanga (ID #980358).

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving West-Southwest @ 27 kph, towards West Philippine Sea
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
>> Calamian Group of Islands, Western Coast of Occidental Mindoro, Western Zambales – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

WEDNESDAY EVENING: Becomes a Tropical Storm (TS) as it moves Westward south of Scarborough Shoal…about 407 km west-southwest of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [8PM Sept 13: 14.7N 116.5E @ 85kph].  Confidence Level:  MEDIUM.

THURSDAY EVENING: Already outside of the Philippine Area of Responcsibility (PAR) or over the South China Sea, as it  strengthens into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS)…about 729 km south-southwest of Hong Kong, China [8PM Sept 14: 16.0N 112.6E @ 110kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 550 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 515 km (Small)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Tue September 12, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 14.7º N Lat 118.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 193 km WSW of San Fernando City, Pampanga
Distance 2: 202 km SW of San Carlos City, Pangasinan
Distance 3: 207 km W of Malolos City, Bulacan
Distance 4: 216 km WNW of Trece Martires City, Cavite
Distance 5: 233 km W of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)
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Posted by MJ Klein at 01:23 0 comments

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Tropical Depression 21W (MARING) Update Number 003

 

Tropical Depression 21W (MARING) Update Number 003



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TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (MARING) UPDATE NUMBER 003

Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Tuesday 12 September 2017
Next update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Wednesday, 13 September 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Depression 21W (MARING) is now over Southern Zambales as it approaches the Towns of San Narciso and Cabangan…occasional rains and gusty winds continues to be felt across the western parts of Central Luzon incl. Metro Manila.

This depression is expected to emerge along the west coast of Zambales  later tonight, with a westward turn across the West Philippine Sea for the next 24 hours.  21W (MARING) is likely to become a Tropical Storm (TS) by tomorrow morning (Sept 13).

*TD 21W (MARING) and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will bring moderate to heavy to at times torrential rains and thunderstorms across the western sections of Central and Southern Luzon, MiMaRoPa, and portions of Western Visayas. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures and be on full alert against flash floods, landslides and swollen river banks.

Where is 21W (MARING)?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 12…0900 GMT.  The center was located over the southern foothills of Mt. Pinatubo (near 15.0N 120.4E), about 22 km northeast of Olongapo City, Zambales or 28 km west-southwest of San Fernando City, Pampanga.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.

*At 5pm today, wind gusts of 67 km/hr blowing from the Southeast was reported at the WPF Automated Weather Station (AWS) in  San Fernando City, Pampanga (ID #980358).

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving West-Northwest @ 15 kph, towards Zambales-West Philippine Sea Area
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: Currently Overland (Along Southwestern Zambales).
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
>> Metro Manila, CaLaBaRZon, Rizal, Bulacan, Pampanga, Zambales, Bataan, Lubang Island, Occidental Mindoro – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a Tropical Storm (TS) as it passes over Scarborough Shoal…about 295 km west-southwest of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [2PM Sept 13: 15.0N 117.5E @ 75kph].  Confidence Level:  HIGH.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Already outside of the Philippine Area of Responcsibility (PAR) or over the South China Sea, as it  strengthens into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS)…about 715 km west of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [2PM Sept 14: 16.0N 113.3E @ 95kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 555 km (Small)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue September 12, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 15.0º N Lat 120.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 38 km NNW of Balanga City, Bataan
Distance 2: 57 km SSW of Tarlac City, Tarlac
Distance 3: 73 km WSW of Gapan City, Nueva Ecija
Distance 4: 21 km NE of Subic Bay, Zambales
Distance 5: 85 km NW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
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.

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Posted by MJ Klein at 19:30 0 comments

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